Oskoreiter · Polymarket wallet 0x4518…1cac

Wallet snapshot

Oskoreiter has made 6,825 trades on Polymarket across 739 markets, $305K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (40%) and sports (26%). On 671 resolved markets the win rate is 55.9%, lifetime P&L +$5,598. It holds 27 open positions right now; the largest is No on "US imports Russian diesel by October 31?". Last trade: Oct 18, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US imports Russian diesel by October 31?No · $1,294 · 90¢ → 97¢
• Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?No · $1,216 · 91¢ → 94¢
• US imports Russian diesel by November 30?No · $857 · 71¢ → 72¢
• Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes · $473 · 52¢ → 65¢
• Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No · $374 · 89¢ → 94¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $363 · 71¢ → 36¢
• Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No · $170 · 62¢ → 57¢
• Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 3, 2026?No · $167 · 77¢ → 84¢
• Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in September?Yes · $132 · 31¢ → 56¢
• Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes · $111 · 83¢ → 21¢

Latest closed positions

• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$12 · Oct 18, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Yes · +$9 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by October 31, 2026?Yes · +$33 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Yes · +$3 · Oct 18, 2026
• Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?No · +$21 · Oct 17, 2026
• Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?No · +$19 · Oct 17, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.