Geopolitics78 days left
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?
YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$3.9K
142 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 51 traders
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
5 MARKETS · $10.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31
5¢+6¢$1.6K1/8Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31+6¢5¢
$1.6K1/8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31
8¢+35¢$2.2K3/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31+35¢8¢
$2.2K3/4
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31
5¢+15¢$8891/4Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on December 31+15¢5¢
$8891/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs7 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.4K is directional: YES $1.3K·NO $41YES Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$375(+28.3%)
Whales
7
A
AllByMyseIf🥇
Entry 58¢·1,411.4 shares
Invested
$819
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
+$288
+$288INV $819 · WR 70.8%
C
Chims◆Proven🥈
Entry 79¢·333 shares
Invested
$263
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $263 · WR 85.2%
A
Askeladd.🥉
Entry 50¢·280.9 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $140 · WR 55.2%
T
The-Defect
Entry 79¢·83.2 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $66 · WR 80.3%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 52¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $16 · WR 66.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 79¢·16.9 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 68.2%
S
StormRazer
Entry 79¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 59.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$155
Avg Win Rate
79.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$75(-48.3%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 42¢·112 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $47 · WR 79.6%
A
aliiz🥈
Entry 45¢·77.1 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $35 · WR 65.1%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 33¢·85 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $28 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·54 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $27 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 49¢·21.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $10 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 33¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 31¢·3.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 86.0%
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