NellyDora · Polymarket wallet 0xca97…5409

+$745 lifetime P&L · 55.6% win rate · 997 resolved markets · 0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409

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Wallet snapshot

NellyDora has made 28,581 trades on Polymarket across 1,224 markets, $626K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (47%) and sports (14%). On 997 resolved markets the win rate is 55.6%, lifetime P&L +$745. It holds 146 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $596 · 84¢ → 85¢
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $579 · 94¢ → 95¢
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No · $289 · 94¢ → 96¢
Trump goes to space in 2026?No · $172 · 98¢ → 98¢
Russia coup attempt in 2026?No · $145 · 94¢ → 97¢
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No · $112 · 91¢ → 97¢
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes · $107 · 96¢ → 96¢
Iran Nuke before 2027?No · $102 · 90¢ → 96¢
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No · $99 · 95¢ → 96¢
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No · $93 · 96¢ → 93¢

Latest closed positions

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · -$1 · Oct 16, 2026
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?No · +$10 · Oct 16, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · -$0 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Yes · +$8 · Oct 16, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes · -$5 · Oct 16, 2026
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes · +$2 · Oct 16, 2026
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

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