YES Price
83¢
83% implied
NO Price
17¢
17% implied
Volume
$19.5K
170 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 83 traders · 2 on both sides
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
5 MARKETS · $128.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 12 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+45 new YES$15.3K+63 new NO$4.3K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales16 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $8.3K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $6.4K·NO $1.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
82.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$165(-2.6%)
Whales
6
R
rainbowlilies🥇
Entry 82¢·7,266.5 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $6.0K · WR 83.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 81¢·400 shares
Invested
$322
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $322 · WR 57.2%
P
Parz1vaI🥉
Entry 77¢·103 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $79 · WR 71.7%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 93¢·49.3 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$46
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $46 · WR 82.0%
P
pIebehedged
Entry 80¢·5 shares·also $1.0K on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
—
—INV $4 · WR 74.4%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 80¢·1.9 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
—
—INV $2 · WR 55.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$314(+16.0%)
Whales
14
P
pIebe🥇hedged
Entry 18¢·5,574.4 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $1.0K · WR 74.4%
M
MEPP🥈
Entry 14¢·2,582.3 shares
Invested
$362
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $362 · WR 63.5%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 18¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $180 · WR 67.1%
G
garlictrump
Entry 16¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $160 · WR 80.6%
D
DerDon◆Proven
Entry 19¢·663.1 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $123 · WR 56.8%
C
Chims◆Proven
Entry 17¢·300 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $51 · WR 85.5%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 41¢·49.3 shares·also $46 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $20 · WR 82.0%
T
The-Defect
Entry 17¢·75 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $13 · WR 81.0%
T
theonechance
Entry 18¢·60 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 56.6%
M
Measly-Toothbrush
Entry 20¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $4 · WR 59.2%
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