Measly-Toothbrush · Polymarket wallet 0x8c94…2e06

Wallet snapshot

Measly-Toothbrush has made 5,355 trades on Polymarket across 562 markets, $82K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (68%) and sports (16%). On 469 resolved markets the win rate is 56.9%, lifetime P&L +$669. It holds 33 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $442 · 91¢ → 92¢
• US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $134 · 80¢ → 80¢
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $130 · 85¢ → 81¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Yes · $48 · 58¢ → 58¢
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · $48 · 81¢ → 80¢
• Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No · $40 · 73¢ → 75¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No · $28 · 84¢ → 90¢
• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $19 · 83¢ → 97¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $17 · 83¢ → 87¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes · $13 · 70¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

• Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 11, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 11, 2026
• Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes · -$2 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes · -$13 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · -$25 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.