Measly-Toothbrush · Polymarket wallet 0x8c94…2e06

+$809 lifetime P&L · 56.9% win rate · 469 resolved markets · 0x8c948f18b27df91842be760ea4ff4eee2d462e06

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Wallet snapshot

Measly-Toothbrush has made 5,350 trades on Polymarket across 561 markets, $82K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (68%) and sports (16%). On 469 resolved markets the win rate is 56.9%, lifetime P&L +$809. It holds 32 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 12, 2026.

Largest open positions

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $442 · 91¢ → 92¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $134 · 80¢ → 80¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $127 · 85¢ → 79¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027?Yes · $48 · 58¢ → 58¢
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No · $48 · 81¢ → 80¢
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No · $40 · 73¢ → 75¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No · $28 · 84¢ → 90¢
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?No · $19 · 83¢ → 97¢
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $17 · 83¢ → 87¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Yes · $13 · 70¢ → 67¢

Latest closed positions

Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?Yes · +$1 · Oct 11, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$7 · Oct 11, 2026
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Yes · -$2 · Oct 10, 2026
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31?Yes · +$1 · Oct 9, 2026
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes · -$13 · Oct 9, 2026
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes · -$25 · Oct 9, 2026
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?

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