YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$150.1K
799 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 247 traders · 2 on both sides
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
2 MARKETS · $599.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs43 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 10¢
YES 17%NO 83%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 10¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 40 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
$936
$4.2K
+16 new YES · 5 smart whales+13 new NO · 5 smart whales
$10 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ7 of 9 on NO
YES 2NO 7one dot = one wallet
2 wallets on YES
7 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $18.3K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $363·NO $17.9KYES Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$179(-44.6%)
Whales
9
F
ferraracesare🥇
Entry 19¢·900 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $171 · WR 64.3%
B
badatthis🥈
Entry 14¢·600 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $84 · WR 63.6%
P
PaddyAlpha🥉
Entry 13¢·420 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $55 · WR 67.3%
D
Dearest-Cowbell-Crunch
Entry 20¢·250 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $50 · WR 78.5%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 13¢·256.2 shares·also $228 on NO
Invested
$33
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $33 · WR 81.0%
G
GonTanaka
Entry 14¢·22 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 57.0%
I
Insignificant-Trianglehedged
Entry 18¢·5.4 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.5%
D
Duskbornhedged
Entry 19¢·3.4 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 67.9%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$19.9K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$716(+3.6%)
Whales
43
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇
Entry 91¢·3,374.8 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $3.1K · WR 57.1%
R
RdogTest🥈
Entry 91¢·2,679.3 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $2.4K · WR 78.3%
M
MrNoItAll🥉
Entry 91¢·2,282.4 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $2.1K · WR 90.4%
0
080526
Entry 92¢·2,180.2 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $2.0K · WR 82.8%
S
Sdfghji
Entry 90¢·1,909.6 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $1.7K · WR 59.8%
G
groth◆Proven
Entry 83¢·1,948.7 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $1.6K · WR 63.9%
S
Serpentine-Majority
Entry 84¢·1,075 shares
Invested
$900
Win Rate
78.7%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $900 · WR 78.7%
N
nonkenny90◆Proven
Entry 92¢·936 shares
Invested
$858
Win Rate
91.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $858 · WR 91.0%
S
SuAlteza
Entry 84¢·900 shares
Invested
$758
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $758 · WR 86.9%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 85¢·800 shares
Invested
$679
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $679 · WR 83.4%
Showing top 10 of 43
Smart Whale Trades
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