Duskborn · Polymarket wallet 0x464f…358f

Wallet snapshot

Duskborn has made 520 trades on Polymarket across 106 markets, $13K in volume. Most of it is in politics (49%) and geopolitics (39%). On 22 resolved markets the win rate is 63.6%, lifetime P&L +$133. It holds 38 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $3,032 · 35¢ → 83¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Yes · $168 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes · $159 · 71¢ → 69¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes · $123 · 91¢ → 95¢
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No · $109 · 77¢ → 74¢
• Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · $32 · 43¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · $31 · 82¢ → 87¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes · $26 · 7¢ → 5¢
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Yes · $18 · 38¢ → 36¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $18 · 41¢ → 40¢

Latest closed positions

• Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?No · +$4 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$6 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$18 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$17 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?Yes · +$1 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No · +$45 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

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