PoliticsResolved

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

YES Price
66¢
66% implied
NO Price
34¢
34% implied
Volume
$104.9K
7,927 trades
Smart Whales
378
of 1,712 traders · 4 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

227 YESvs155 NO
59%41%
59% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 191 YES vs 64 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 77%· net of hedges
+36 new YES$9.0K+56 new NO$2.9K
$771 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$27 of $199.7K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $155.9K·NO $43.7K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 60% YES: the Democrats win the Michigan Senate…