Warlike-Horn · Polymarket wallet 0xb9d8…275a

+$48,169 lifetime P&L · 85.7% win rate · 21 resolved markets · 0xb9d89bef8c935082f6a86355bd9667402d92275a

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Wallet snapshot

Warlike-Horn has made 1,315 trades on Polymarket across 31 markets, $2.5M in volume. Most of it is in politics (44%) and geopolitics (34%). On 21 resolved markets the win rate is 85.7%, lifetime P&L +$48K. It holds 10 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 30, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No · $383K · 88¢ → 98¢
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $320K · 91¢ → 95¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $232K · 91¢ → 95¢
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $35K · 81¢ → 98¢
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $16K · 78¢ → 79¢
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No · $12K · 71¢ → 72¢
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No · $7,250 · 60¢ → 73¢
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No · $6,174 · 29¢ → 61¢
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $6,100 · 29¢ → 61¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes · $754 · 60¢ → 74¢

Latest closed positions

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No · +$250 · Oct 30, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$300 · Oct 29, 2026
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$367 · Oct 10, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No · +$208 · Jul 26, 2026
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No · +$2,201 · Jul 26, 2026
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No · +$172 · May 14, 2026
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

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