Politics23 days left
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$2.64M
23,018 trades
Smart Whales
651
of 4,149 traders · 13 on both sides
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
2 MARKETS · $6.34M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
327 YESvs337 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 49% YES by dollars · 163 YES vs 127 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$4.9K+11 new NO$2.9K
$3.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$47.6K of $268.1K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $448 is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $108.4K·NO $111.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$167.5K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$21.3K(-12.7%)
Whales
327
L
lomneivan🥇
Entry 39¢·119,739.9 shares
Invested
$46.3K
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-2623
$-2623INV $46.3K · WR 69.0%
O
Old-Outfielder🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·26,000 shares·also $13.0K on NO
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
$-3510
$-3510INV $13.0K · WR 77.0%
S
smoovster🥉
Entry 46¢·25,909.5 shares
Invested
$12.0K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2517
$-2517INV $12.0K · WR 56.8%
C
carkiller530
Entry 62¢·15,977.3 shares
Invested
$9.8K
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-4016
$-4016INV $9.8K · WR 85.0%
F
flawfence◆Proven
Entry 35¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $7.0K · WR 55.4%
R
rwoboth sides
Entry 50¢·13,500 shares·also $6.8K on NO
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-1823
$-1823INV $6.8K · WR 83.1%
K
Krang
Entry 38¢·13,157.9 shares
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $5.0K · WR 55.4%
1
11122
Entry 43¢·9,531.5 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-603
$-603INV $4.1K · WR 60.6%
A
Anjun◆Proven
Entry 36¢·11,111 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $4.0K · WR 58.8%
K
karcharodonboth sides
Entry 50¢·7,397 shares·also $3.7K on NO
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-999
$-999INV $3.7K · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 327
NO Team
Total Invested
$285.8K
Avg Win Rate
68.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$51.9K(+18.1%)
Whales
337
F
foodenjoyer🥇
Entry 62¢·83,944.5 shares
Invested
$52.1K
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$1201
+$1201INV $52.1K · WR 60.2%
X
XAE12Archangel🥈
Entry 43¢·53,855.4 shares
Invested
$22.9K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$11261
+$11261INV $22.9K · WR 77.3%
R
risk-manager🥉
Entry 50¢·29,526.5 shares
Invested
$14.7K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$4001
+$4001INV $14.7K · WR 73.6%
O
Old-Outfielderboth sides
Entry 50¢·26,000 shares·also $13.0K on YES
Invested
$13.0K
Win Rate
77.0%
Position P&L
+$3510
+$3510INV $13.0K · WR 77.0%
M
MRF◆Proven
Entry 52¢·24,714 shares
Invested
$12.7K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$2955
+$2955INV $12.7K · WR 67.1%
P
pantomime◆Proven
Entry 62¢·19,999.9 shares
Invested
$12.4K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $12.4K · WR 73.5%
U
UbuntuTrading
Entry 46¢·23,399.8 shares
Invested
$10.8K
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$4021
+$4021INV $10.8K · WR 66.5%
W
WongKimArk
Entry 51¢·20,000 shares
Invested
$10.3K
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$2400
+$2400INV $10.3K · WR 58.6%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 46¢·20,576.4 shares
Invested
$9.5K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$3599
+$3599INV $9.5K · WR 64.4%
L
Loyalty-Crash◆Proven
Entry 46¢·16,114.9 shares
Invested
$7.5K
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$2760
+$2760INV $7.5K · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 337
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