PoliticsResolved

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

YES Price
52¢
52% implied
NO Price
48¢
48% implied
Volume
$356.5K
11,295 trades
Smart Whales
456
of 2,410 traders · 2 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

176 YESvs282 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 135 YES vs 170 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+53 new YES$26.5K+45 new NO$55.9K
$4.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3.4K of $304.9K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $54.8K·NO $246.8K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 38% YES: the Republicans win the Texas Senate…