Folletin · Polymarket wallet 0x08c8…1da2

Wallet snapshot

Folletin has made 7,228 trades on Polymarket across 735 markets, $1.7M in volume. Most of it is in politics (43%) and geopolitics (22%). On 682 resolved markets the win rate is 69.8%, lifetime P&L +$73K. It holds 48 open positions right now; the largest is No on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $25K · 92¢ → 91¢
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No · $18K · 77¢ → 91¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $15K · 82¢ → 85¢
• Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · $14K · 64¢ → 87¢
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes · $12K · 52¢ → 97¢
• Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No · $9,837 · 74¢ → 93¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $7,866 · 85¢ → 88¢
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No · $5,186 · 76¢ → 62¢
• Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No · $3,452 · 71¢ → 77¢
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · $2,265 · 71¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes · -$226 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No · -$1,354 · Oct 6, 2026
• Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes · -$70 · Sep 16, 2026
• US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonYes · +$159 · Sep 13, 2026
• Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes · -$91 · Sep 9, 2026
• Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No · +$619 · Sep 1, 2026
• Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?

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