YES Price
79¢
79% implied
NO Price
21¢
21% implied
Volume
$2.22M
10,654 trades
Smart Whales
287
of 1,225 traders · 8 on both sides
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
6 MARKETS · $6.05M MATCHEDSmart Money
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
35¢+12¢$408.7K55/62US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31+12¢35¢
$408.7K55/62
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15
60¢−10¢$116.6K37/37US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15−10¢60¢
$116.6K37/37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
43¢+1¢$456.0K57/73US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30+1¢43¢
$456.0K57/73
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12
98¢−24¢$1.70M163/56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12−24¢98¢
$1.70M163/56
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
191 YESvs104 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 71% YES by dollars · 84 YES vs 45 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+64 new YES$36.6K+49 new NO$16.0K
$6.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$94 of $140.5K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $99.4K·NO $41.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$215.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$41.4K(+19.2%)
Whales
191
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥇
Entry 78¢·40,000 shares
Invested
$31.1K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$300
+$300INV $31.1K · WR 71.4%
S
SunXiaochuan6🥈
Entry 66¢·40,184.2 shares
Invested
$26.6K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$4986
+$4986INV $26.6K · WR 81.8%
A
Astera🥉
Entry 44¢·31,576.2 shares
Invested
$14.0K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$10773
+$10773INV $14.0K · WR 73.2%
L
LJa7io23MCv954j
Entry 76¢·17,942.5 shares
Invested
$13.6K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$449
+$449INV $13.6K · WR 70.0%
R
rerevervadae4r3453214tpermdr43fvd
Entry 49¢·23,163.4 shares
Invested
$11.4K
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$4193
+$4193INV $11.4K · WR 72.4%
V
Valen9
Entry 68¢·15,754.4 shares
Invested
$10.7K
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$1662
+$1662INV $10.7K · WR 61.5%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 39¢·25,647 shares
Invested
$10.1K
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$10046
+$10046INV $10.1K · WR 74.2%
P
paddaa
Entry 77¢·8,312 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $6.4K · WR 61.1%
L
laureman
Entry 73¢·7,206 shares
Invested
$5.3K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-404
$-404INV $5.3K · WR 91.4%
S
SquirrelTheMerchant
Entry 65¢·6,701.6 shares
Invested
$4.4K
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$885
+$885INV $4.4K · WR 64.9%
Showing top 10 of 191
NO Team
Total Invested
$77.8K
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$22.2K(-28.6%)
Whales
104
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven🥇
Entry 29¢·40,000.1 shares
Invested
$11.8K
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-3155
$-3155INV $11.8K · WR 64.8%
C
cashy◆Proven🥈
Entry 33¢·33,705.2 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-4034
$-4034INV $11.3K · WR 72.3%
P
pilipro3🥉
Entry 52¢·18,130.3 shares
Invested
$9.4K
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-5470
$-5470INV $9.4K · WR 71.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 69¢·11,228.3 shares
Invested
$7.7K
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-5294
$-5294INV $7.7K · WR 84.8%
P
Pulser
Entry 26¢·16,622.5 shares
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-761
$-761INV $4.3K · WR 57.1%
L
Lolakis
Entry 23¢·8,941.5 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $2.0K · WR 61.8%
E
ED99999
Entry 40¢·4,998.2 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-932
$-932INV $2.0K · WR 73.6%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 30¢·6,208.2 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-525
$-525INV $1.9K · WR 75.9%
3
38327832383823
Entry 22¢·5,007.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $1.1K · WR 72.8%
J
JasonPunos
Entry 42¢·2,580 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-538
$-538INV $1.1K · WR 74.1%
Showing top 10 of 104
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