KariSpice · Polymarket wallet 0x08ab…3af9

Wallet snapshot

KariSpice has made 4,169 trades on Polymarket across 611 markets, $150K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and politics (16%). On 503 resolved markets the win rate is 82.9%, lifetime P&L +$1,871. It holds 80 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1,517 · 59¢ → 43¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $1,472 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No · $1,309 · 81¢ → 93¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $989 · 91¢ → 99¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $947 · 69¢ → 86¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $941 · 62¢ → 86¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $668 · 82¢ → 84¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $599 · 85¢ → 86¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No · $435 · 70¢ → 73¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $411 · 67¢ → 69¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$12 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$3 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes · +$6 · Oct 10, 2026
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · -$6 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.