KariSpice · Polymarket wallet 0x08ab…3af9

Wallet snapshot

KariSpice has made 4,170 trades on Polymarket across 611 markets, $150K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (43%) and politics (16%). On 503 resolved markets the win rate is 82.9%, lifetime P&L +$1,895. It holds 81 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes · $1,484 · 59¢ → 42¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $1,475 · 85¢ → 98¢
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No · $1,309 · 81¢ → 93¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $990 · 91¢ → 99¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No · $952 · 62¢ → 87¢
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes · $949 · 69¢ → 86¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $660 · 82¢ → 83¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No · $599 · 85¢ → 86¢
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No · $435 · 70¢ → 73¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $417 · 67¢ → 70¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$12 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$3 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · +$0 · Oct 12, 2026
• Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Oct 10, 2026
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes · +$6 · Oct 10, 2026
• OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No · -$6 · Oct 10, 2026
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

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