Geopolitics81 days left
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$200.6K
1,137 trades
Smart Whales
87
of 317 traders · 1 on both sides
Russia military action against EU country by...?
2 MARKETS · $207.0K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs60 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 51 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$8
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $41.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.8K·NO $36.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
78.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-35.3%)
Whales
28
P
pretzel🥇
Entry 11¢·16,856.1 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-385
$-385INV $1.9K · WR 86.0%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven🥈
Entry 11¢·10,837.3 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $1.2K · WR 75.9%
X
XueqinJiang🥉hedged
Entry 90¢·1,000 shares·also $160 on NO
Invested
$900
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-820
$-820INV $900 · WR 79.3%
C
Car
Entry 10¢·6,148.7 shares
Invested
$633
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $633 · WR 64.9%
J
Jest55◆Proven
Entry 14¢·4,000 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-240
$-240INV $560 · WR 83.3%
M
MisTKy
Entry 18¢·919.3 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $165 · WR 71.3%
B
0xb5b189f1...
Entry 11¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $110 · WR 56.3%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 11¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $110 · WR 64.8%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 10¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $100 · WR 70.5%
U
UntitledUser1hedged
Entry 11¢·526.3 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $58 · WR 64.9%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$37.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.1K(+10.9%)
Whales
60
T
tsybka🥇
Entry 85¢·16,806.9 shares
Invested
$14.3K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1186
+$1186INV $14.3K · WR 86.0%
D
DiaMat🥈
Entry 83¢·8,000 shares
Invested
$6.7K
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$619
+$619INV $6.7K · WR 86.1%
N
NoIdea666🥉
Entry 89¢·6,059 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
92.8%
Position P&L
+$143
+$143INV $5.4K · WR 92.8%
B
bigshort
Entry 88¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $1.8K · WR 83.1%
G
GTOrski1
Entry 86¢·1,899 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$99
+$99INV $1.6K · WR 72.0%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 88¢·1,660 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $1.5K · WR 73.2%
C
cumprod◆Proven
Entry 89¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$887
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $887 · WR 81.0%
E
Eia
Entry 88¢·900 shares
Invested
$795
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $795 · WR 61.7%
S
sabsabinxz
Entry 88¢·750 shares
Invested
$660
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $660 · WR 65.9%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 88¢·600 shares
Invested
$526
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $526 · WR 64.4%
Showing top 10 of 60
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