cumprod · Polymarket wallet 0x3ffe…e125

Wallet snapshot

cumprod has made 10,583 trades on Polymarket across 760 markets, $1.3M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (44%) and politics (27%). On 716 resolved markets the win rate is 81%, lifetime P&L +$20K. It holds 23 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Xi Jinping out before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Xi Jinping out before 2027?No · $3,595 · 89¢ → 97¢
• Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No · $2,324 · 84¢ → 93¢
• China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No · $1,250 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Iran nuclear test before 2027?No · $1,128 · 94¢ → 94¢
• Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?No · $910 · 89¢ → 91¢
• Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes · $896 · 66¢ → 96¢
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?No · $575 · 90¢ → 96¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · $322 · 70¢ → 12¢
• Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes · $308 · 68¢ → 62¢
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No · $290 · 68¢ → 73¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes · +$11 · Oct 12, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · +$32 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Mark Carney win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes · +$12 · Oct 8, 2026
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No · +$182 · Oct 6, 2026
• Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by September 30?No · +$4 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.