Politics14 days left

Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?

YES Price
67¢
67% implied
NO Price
33¢
33% implied
Volume
$13.3K
244 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 126 traders

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs23 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 67¢
YES 38%NO 62%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 67¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 67%
+6 new YES · 1 smart whale+8 new NO · 5 smart whales
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 3 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.4K is directional: YES $3.0K·NO $474

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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