alwayswinneverlose · Polymarket wallet 0x2a71…7d55

Wallet snapshot

alwayswinneverlose has made 223 trades on Polymarket across 66 markets, $27K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (26%). On 20 resolved markets the win rate is 75%, lifetime P&L +$169. It holds 37 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?No · $948 · 95¢ → 94¢
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No · $624 · 48¢ → 56¢
• Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes · $548 · 89¢ → 91¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?Yes · $498 · 95¢ → 100¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $464 · 97¢ → 93¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?No · $463 · 88¢ → 93¢
• Iran leadership change by December 31?No · $457 · 85¢ → 92¢
• Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes · $387 · 85¢ → 88¢
• Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes · $349 · 66¢ → 67¢
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $307 · 70¢ → 77¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?Yes · +$3 · Nov 5, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?Yes · +$68 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$8 · Nov 5, 2026
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Yes · $0 · Nov 4, 2026
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No · +$5 · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$17 · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

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