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Geopolitics1 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
90¢
90% implied
NO Price
10¢
10% implied
Volume
$19.4K
118 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 82 traders

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $233.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

12 YESvs4 NO
75%25%
75% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+49 new YES$16.8K+45 new NO$2.5K
$827 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
12 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $8.6K is directional: YES $7.9K·NO $647
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.9K
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$40(+0.5%)
Whales
12
S
StarMasterProven🥇
Entry 89¢·2,000 shares
+$10INV $1.8K · WR 55.3%
M
m4ds🥈
Entry 90¢·1,931.7 shares
$-3INV $1.7K · WR 72.2%
M
morito181🥉
Entry 90¢·1,738 shares
$-2INV $1.6K · WR 73.9%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 88¢·1,537.1 shares
+$18INV $1.4K · WR 57.4%
J
Jest55Proven
Entry 88¢·1,338.1 shares
+$15INV $1.2K · WR 83.2%
W
wisechinamanProven
Entry 89¢·179.7 shares
+$1INV $159 · WR 58.2%
G
godpls
Entry 89¢·100 shares
+$1INV $89 · WR 81.6%
M
Measly-Toothbrush
Entry 88¢·30 shares
+$0INV $26 · WR 56.3%
B
big-bird1
Entry 89¢·16.2 shares
+$0INV $14 · WR 68.9%
C
CampruCali
Entry 90¢·5.6 shares
$-0INV $5 · WR 95.5%
Showing top 10 of 12

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 86% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…