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Geopolitics2 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
96¢
96% implied
NO Price
4¢
4% implied
Volume
$5.1K
76 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 49 traders · 1 on both sides

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $11.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs1 NO
83%17%
83% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$3.9K+35 new NO$322
$156 of this was bought on both sides by the same 14 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $266 is held equally on both sides by 1 wallet — not a bet on the outcome. True directional: YES $265·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$265
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+3.2%)
Whales
5
C
chew-it🥇
Entry 93¢·267.7 shares
+$8INV $250 · WR 77.1%
V
Vast-Dryer🥈
Entry 93¢·5.4 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 82.9%
C
CampruCali🥉
Entry 96¢·5.2 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 95.5%
T
tatantus1
Entry 95¢·5 shares
+$0INV $5 · WR 94.7%
V
vbfdsoibhjdfslboth sides
Entry 50¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 83% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…