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Geopolitics27 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
26¢
26% implied
NO Price
74¢
74% implied
Volume
$4.0K
57 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 41 traders

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $11.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs5 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$3.2K+30 new NO$4.8K
$954 of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $1.5K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-0.2%)
Whales
3
M
m4ds🥇
Entry 42¢·3,359.1 shares
+$2INV $1.4K · WR 72.2%
G
G24L8🥈
Entry 51¢·20 shares
$-2INV $10 · WR 67.8%
1
1nvoker1🥉hedged
Entry 40¢·22.3 shares·also $1.1K on NO
$-3INV $9 · WR 59.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 29% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…