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Geopolitics58 days left

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$9.0K
52 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 35 traders

US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?

6 MARKETS · $11.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 24% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$6.2K+21 new NO$11.8K
$710 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.8K is directional: YES $2.8K·NO $9.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.8K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$74(-2.7%)
Whales
2
M
m4ds🥇
Entry 30¢·9,096 shares
$-73INV $2.8K · WR 72.2%
L
Lolakis🥈
Entry 31¢·73.5 shares
$-1INV $23 · WR 61.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 29% YES: US x Iran effective ceasefire…