classified · Polymarket wallet 0x12d6…f2a8

+$1,002,987 lifetime P&L · 82.7% win rate · 1,177 resolved markets · 0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8

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Wallet snapshot

classified has made 140,073 trades on Polymarket across 1,304 markets, $44M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (54%) and politics (20%). On 1,177 resolved markets the win rate is 82.7%, lifetime P&L +$1.0M. It holds 86 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?". Last trade: Oct 15, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes · $75K · 67¢ → 87¢
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $46K · 80¢ → 78¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $23K · 84¢ → 83¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No · $23K · 95¢ → 98¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes · $15K · 58¢ → 56¢
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?No · $11K · 96¢ → 97¢
Iran leadership change by October 31?No · $11K · 97¢ → 98¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · $10K · 99¢ → 100¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?No · $7,926 · 99¢ → 100¢
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes · $7,791 · 23¢ → 25¢

Latest closed positions

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · $0 · Oct 15, 2026
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$17K · Oct 15, 2026
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes · +$17K · Oct 15, 2026
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Yes · +$2,108 · Oct 15, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes · +$2,644 · Oct 15, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes · +$213 · Oct 15, 2026

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