Geopolitics80 days left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$1.03M
6,178 trades
Smart Whales
207
of 688 traders · 3 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

118 YESvs92 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 65 YES vs 33 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 50%· net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.6K+13 new NO$1.6K
$379 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$303 of $132.2K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $110.9K·NO $21.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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