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Geopolitics89 days left

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$875.2K
5,377 trades
Smart Whales
173
of 625 traders · 5 on both sides

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

3 MARKETS · $2.53M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

103 YESvs75 NO
58%42%
58% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 85% YES by dollars · 68 YES vs 35 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$31.2K+20 new NO$4.0K
$2.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$365 of $164.6K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $139.4K·NO $24.8K
YES Team
Total Invested
$149.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.8K(-5.2%)
Whales
103
V
Valen9🥇
Entry 65¢·46,276.4 shares
$-2151INV $30.1K · WR 61.4%
M
mr.oziProven🥈
Entry 63¢·30,000 shares
$-788INV $18.9K · WR 71.3%
J
JSG3🥉
Entry 63¢·20,000 shares
$-500INV $12.6K · WR 64.3%
B
betwickProven
Entry 61¢·20,000 shares
$-100INV $12.2K · WR 59.8%
L
laureman
Entry 65¢·12,805.1 shares
$-603INV $8.4K · WR 95.0%
P
peterfromfamilyguy
Entry 66¢·8,398.1 shares
$-468INV $5.5K · WR 60.3%
S
Sardinianshepherd
Entry 66¢·7,883.6 shares
$-443INV $5.2K · WR 68.0%
S
skibabiba
Entry 61¢·7,000 shares
$-35INV $4.3K · WR 83.9%
I
ImJustKen
Entry 64¢·6,508.7 shares
$-228INV $4.2K · WR 61.3%
C
Car
Entry 66¢·5,354.1 shares
$-319INV $3.6K · WR 65.0%
Showing top 10 of 103

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 58% YES: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues…