nope3050 · Polymarket wallet 0x6114…cff0

Wallet snapshot

nope3050 has made 2,779 trades on Polymarket across 138 markets, $654K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (67%) and politics (13%). On 75 resolved markets the win rate is 68%, lifetime P&L -$1,344. It holds 24 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?". Last trade: Oct 23, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No · $7,354 · 80¢ → 86¢
• Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes · $5,950 · 87¢ → 88¢
• Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No · $5,871 · 86¢ → 91¢
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No · $5,550 · 89¢ → 93¢
• IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No · $5,503 · 87¢ → 87¢
• Iran leadership change by November 30?No · $5,247 · 93¢ → 93¢
• Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?No · $4,233 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?No · $3,071 · 85¢ → 87¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $2,958 · 83¢ → 85¢
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No · $2,775 · 77¢ → 90¢

Latest closed positions

• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes · +$487 · Oct 22, 2026
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · +$34 · Oct 22, 2026
• Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No · +$69 · Oct 21, 2026
• Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes · +$2,301 · Oct 21, 2026
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No · +$328 · Oct 21, 2026
• Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No · +$105 · Oct 20, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.