Politics15 days left
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
YES Price
12¢
12% implied
NO Price
88¢
88% implied
Volume
$248.8K
1,913 trades
Smart Whales
104
of 383 traders
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
5 MARKETS · $475.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election
15¢+15¢$94.5K21/49Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election+15¢15¢
$94.5K21/49
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election
41¢−3¢$31.2K25/40Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election−3¢41¢
$31.2K25/40
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election
25¢−3¢$79.0K19/66Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election−3¢25¢
$79.0K19/66
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs89 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 53 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+17 new YES$1.5K+7 new NO$4.3K
$240 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $57.8K is directional: YES $589·NO $57.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$832
Avg Win Rate
64.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$58(-7.0%)
Whales
15
S
Sticky-Closing🥇
Entry 13¢·2,979.7 shares
Invested
$387
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $387 · WR 62.5%
G
Glicha🥈
Entry 14¢·837.8 shares
Invested
$118
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $118 · WR 64.7%
N
neverhackme🥉
Entry 12¢·324.4 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $38 · WR 75.8%
9
0x93c616c1...
Entry 18¢·147.1 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $26 · WR 68.8%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 13¢·77.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 79.1%
R
romanew-cryp
Entry 14¢·25 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 70.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 20¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 79.6%
B
big-bird1
Entry 19¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 68.4%
7
0x700974a3...
Entry 13¢·9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 81.7%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 17¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$72.4K
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.4K(+8.8%)
Whales
89
C
cashy◆Proven🥇
Entry 85¢·31,759.8 shares
Invested
$27.2K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$796
+$796INV $27.2K · WR 72.3%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥈
Entry 71¢·15,405 shares
Invested
$10.9K
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$2695
+$2695INV $10.9K · WR 71.4%
F
flawfence◆Proven🥉
Entry 83¢·7,000 shares
Invested
$5.8K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$374
+$374INV $5.8K · WR 55.4%
N
nope3050
Entry 87¢·5,284.2 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $4.6K · WR 68.6%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 86¢·4,800 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $4.1K · WR 62.5%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 86¢·3,499.9 shares
Invested
$3.0K
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $3.0K · WR 70.5%
R
RememberAmalek◆Proven
Entry 50¢·5,175.7 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$1978
+$1978INV $2.6K · WR 64.4%
G
GollumGekko◆Proven
Entry 86¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $2.6K · WR 75.9%
I
IceWindL
Entry 86¢·1,939.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1.7K · WR 60.6%
Q
qizhan
Entry 87¢·1,236.1 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $1.1K · WR 61.2%
Showing top 10 of 89
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