flawfence · Polymarket wallet 0x23d8…0288

Wallet snapshot

flawfence has made 38,625 trades on Polymarket across 688 markets, $16M in volume. Most of it is in politics (47%) and sports (38%). On 642 resolved markets the win rate is 57%, lifetime P&L +$980K. It holds 100 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $354K · 64¢ → 71¢
• Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes · $164K · 26¢ → 95¢
• Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No · $44K · 86¢ → 84¢
• Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes · $38K · 36¢ → 89¢
• Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No · $27K · 82¢ → 91¢
• Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No · $25K · 73¢ → 99¢
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes · $25K · 84¢ → 69¢
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No · $15K · 54¢ → 73¢
• Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No · $9,780 · 34¢ → 73¢
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes · $8,936 · 24¢ → 43¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?Yes · +$10K · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$24K · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo · +$412 · Nov 4, 2026
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes · -$460 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes · +$38K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No · +$11K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.