PoliticsResolved

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

YES Price
35¢
35% implied
NO Price
65¢
65% implied
Volume
$58.1K
7,964 trades
Smart Whales
245
of 1,145 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

88 YESvs158 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 55 YES vs 72 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 70%· net of hedges
+62 new YES$5.2K+29 new NO$11.3K
$1.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $117.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $41.4K·NO $76.0K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 36% YES: the Republicans win the Michigan…