🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Politics22 days left

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$170.1K
2,251 trades
Smart Whales
121
of 479 traders · 1 on both sides

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

5 MARKETS · $586.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs97 NO
21%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 54 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 56%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$303+4 new NO$368
$165 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$120 of $46.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $5.6K·NO $40.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$364(-5.5%)
Whales
25
R
Railcool🥇
Entry 31¢·10,039.9 shares
$-251INV $3.1K · WR 58.7%
B
Bperil🥈
Entry 32¢·2,574.7 shares
$-88INV $822 · WR 64.5%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 29¢·1,516 shares
$-4INV $436 · WR 55.0%
M
manchot
Entry 31¢·1,170.7 shares
$-30INV $364 · WR 63.9%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 32¢·1,000 shares
$-40INV $325 · WR 56.9%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 32¢·786.9 shares
$-29INV $254 · WR 56.4%
R
RememberAmalekProven
Entry 27¢·617.3 shares
+$9INV $167 · WR 64.4%
I
insidero
Entry 33¢·320 shares
$-14INV $106 · WR 72.7%
N
nosfan1019
Entry 28¢·370.4 shares
+$3INV $103 · WR 62.9%
P
Past-Badge
Entry 34¢·303 shares
$-16INV $103 · WR 89.2%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 20% YES: an independent win the Nebraska Senate…