Loyalty-Crash · Polymarket wallet 0x44d9…4c1a

Wallet snapshot

Loyalty-Crash has made 2,133 trades on Polymarket across 146 markets, $678K in volume. Most of it is in politics (48%) and geopolitics (27%). On 106 resolved markets the win rate is 63.2%, lifetime P&L +$128K. It holds 20 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?". Last trade: Nov 4, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes · $11K · 32¢ → 100¢
• Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes · $4,919 · 52¢ → 100¢
• Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No · $4,019 · 91¢ → 98¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes · $1,183 · 23¢ → 89¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?No · $658 · 28¢ → 24¢
• Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No · $619 · 80¢ → 98¢
• Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes · $483 · 22¢ → 99¢
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?No · $371 · 12¢ → 10¢
• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes · $185 · 19¢ → 10¢
• Trump impeached and removed before 2028?Yes · $131 · 20¢ → 18¢

Latest closed positions

• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes · +$33K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes · +$940 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes · +$17K · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No · +$262 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?Yes · +$40 · Nov 4, 2026
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · +$13K · Nov 4, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.