Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
63¢
63% implied
NO Price
37¢
37% implied
Volume
$26.6K
607 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 160 traders · 1 on both sides
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $116.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs22 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 78% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 55%· net of hedges
+41 new YES$4.4K+41 new NO$3.8K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 18 buyers — left out of momentum
9 smart whales18 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$45 of $849 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $627·NO $177YES Team
Total Invested
$685
Avg Win Rate
63.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.2K(+322.3%)
Whales
13
L
Loyalty-Crash◆Proven🥇
Entry 23¢·1,337.2 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$979
+$979INV $311 · WR 63.2%
D
dsoperative🥈
Entry 34¢·320 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $108 · WR 60.9%
T
title1◆Proven🥉
Entry 28¢·300 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $83 · WR 55.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 11¢·728.2 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$625
+$625INV $78 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248hedged
Entry 26¢·106 shares·also $36 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $28 · WR 69.8%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 55¢·41 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $22 · WR 66.2%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 62¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 55.6%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 25¢·60 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$43
+$43INV $15 · WR 63.5%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $4 · WR 70.0%
S
stylishtrade
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $3 · WR 67.4%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$511(-46.4%)
Whales
22
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 66¢·387.1 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $255 · WR 86.2%
F
flexibleagedbeef🥈
Entry 49¢·221 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $108 · WR 75.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 59¢·158 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $94 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 61¢·109.5 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $67 · WR 87.0%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 67¢·98.8 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $67 · WR 66.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·125 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $66 · WR 87.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 63¢·102.9 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $65 · WR 88.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 69¢·93.7 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $65 · WR 88.2%
D
Downright-Afterthought
Entry 75¢·72 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $54 · WR 82.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 77¢·54 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $41 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 22
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