Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 12% or more?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

3¢

3% implied

NO Price

97¢

97% implied

Volume

$4.1K

156 trades

Smart Whales

16

of 70 traders · 1 on both sides

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $104.4K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs14 NO

18%82%

82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 63% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges

+17 new YES$80+15 new NO$834

$28 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale6 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$9 of $94 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $53·NO $31

YES Team

Total Invested

$58

Avg Win Rate

68.6%

Aggregate P&L

-$17(-29.7%)

Whales

3

balthazar🥇hedged

Entry 8¢·465.1 shares·also $5 on NO

$-14INV $39 · WR 72.1%

Entry 6¢·285.4 shares

$-2INV $17 · WR 58.8%

Entry 8¢·21.3 shares

$-1INV $2 · WR 87.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$882

Avg Win Rate

85.6%

Aggregate P&L

+$87(+9.9%)

Whales

14

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 91¢·387.1 shares

+$21INV $354 · WR 86.2%

Entry 77¢·122.9 shares

+$25INV $94 · WR 88.0%

VictorLudorum🥉

Entry 100¢·93.7 shares

$-3INV $93 · WR 88.2%

Entry 82¢·80.7 shares

+$12INV $66 · WR 88.2%

Entry 99¢·60 shares

$-1INV $60 · WR 86.2%

Entry 99¢·48 shares

$-1INV $48 · WR 88.7%

Entry 77¢·54 shares

+$11INV $41 · WR 87.0%

Entry 68¢·46 shares

+$12INV $31 · WR 79.6%

Entry 98¢·30 shares

$-0INV $29 · WR 86.1%

Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon

Entry 100¢·20.2 shares

$-1INV $20 · WR 60.3%

Showing top 10 of 14

Smart Whale Trades

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