Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$15.4K
372 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 124 traders · 1 on both sides
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $102.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs20 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+27 new YES$918+37 new NO$3.2K
$765 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$84 of $631 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $484·NO $64YES Team
Total Invested
$526
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$99(-18.9%)
Whales
6
L
Loyalty-Crash◆Proven🥇
Entry 19¢·2,059.1 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $393 · WR 63.2%
B
balthazar🥈hedged
Entry 8¢·712.8 shares·also $42 on NO
Invested
$59
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $59 · WR 72.1%
T
title1◆Proven🥉
Entry 19¢·200 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $37 · WR 55.7%
Y
yasha◆Proven
Entry 20¢·100 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $20 · WR 60.5%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 20¢·60 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $12 · WR 64.1%
G
Gordon-Gekko
Entry 17¢·29 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 60.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$993
Avg Win Rate
82.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$93(-9.4%)
Whales
20
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 69¢·387.1 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $266 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 82¢·128.8 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $105 · WR 79.6%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 83¢·102.9 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $85 · WR 88.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 83¢·99.5 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $82 · WR 88.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 81¢·93.7 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $76 · WR 88.2%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 76¢·55 shares·also $59 on YES
Invested
$42
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $42 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 80¢·50 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $40 · WR 69.8%
S
sbimbg
Entry 80¢·43 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $34 · WR 71.9%
T
takertime
Entry 80¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $32 · WR 65.7%
S
stylishtrade
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $31 · WR 67.4%
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