Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
34¢
34% implied
NO Price
66¢
66% implied
Volume
$22.8K
512 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 139 traders · 2 on both sides
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $98.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs17 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 59% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$2.4K+26 new NO$3.6K
$1.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$107 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $529·NO $367YES Team
Total Invested
$618
Avg Win Rate
62.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$572(+92.4%)
Whales
10
L
Loyalty-Crash◆Proven🥇
Entry 23¢·1,337.2 shares
Invested
$311
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$364
+$364INV $311 · WR 63.2%
D
dsoperative🥈
Entry 34¢·320 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $108 · WR 61.0%
T
title1◆Proven🥉
Entry 28¢·300 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $83 · WR 55.7%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 19¢·196 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $38 · WR 72.1%
M
melchior1248
Entry 26¢·106 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $28 · WR 69.8%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 55¢·41 shares·also $67 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $22 · WR 66.2%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 25¢·60 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $15 · WR 64.1%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 74¢·11 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 68.5%
I
i2dt◆Proven
Entry 22¢·20 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 70.0%
C
coypu
Entry 30¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 74.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
86.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$130(-11.4%)
Whales
17
R
RayGuy🥇
Entry 75¢·402.3 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $302 · WR 96.3%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 66¢·377.1 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $248 · WR 86.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 59¢·158 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $94 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 61¢·109.5 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $67 · WR 87.0%
T
tinman2hedged
Entry 67¢·98.8 shares·also $22 on YES
Invested
$67
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $67 · WR 66.2%
L
Lucerys
Entry 63¢·102.9 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $65 · WR 88.0%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 69¢·93.7 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $65 · WR 88.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 77¢·54 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $41 · WR 86.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 68¢·60 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $41 · WR 88.7%
C
C.PM
Entry 64¢·50 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $32 · WR 85.8%
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