Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

1¢

1% implied

NO Price

99¢

99% implied

Volume

$4.6K

181 trades

Smart Whales

16

of 73 traders

Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $102.7K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs13 NO

19%81%

81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges

+16 new YES$67+13 new NO$446

$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale8 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $63 is directional: YES $58·NO $5

YES Team

Total Invested

$58

Avg Win Rate

74.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$53(-91.0%)

Whales

3

Entry 8¢·540.1 shares

$-41INV $45 · WR 72.1%

qwen300.fund🥈

Entry 8¢·119.9 shares

$-9INV $10 · WR 86.2%

Entry 8¢·37.8 shares

$-3INV $3 · WR 79.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$595

Avg Win Rate

87.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$76(+12.7%)

Whales

13

graynotebook19🥇

Entry 89¢·109.5 shares

+$12INV $97 · WR 89.2%

Entry 77¢·122.9 shares

+$27INV $95 · WR 88.0%

VictorLudorum🥉

Entry 99¢·93.7 shares

+$0INV $93 · WR 88.2%

Entry 99¢·90 shares

+$1INV $89 · WR 87.7%

Entry 99¢·68 shares

+$0INV $67 · WR 88.2%

Entry 76¢·50 shares

+$12INV $38 · WR 88.9%

Entry 100¢·30 shares

$-0INV $30 · WR 86.1%

Entry 99¢·28.4 shares

+$0INV $28 · WR 87.7%

Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat

Entry 95¢·20.2 shares

+$1INV $19 · WR 60.2%

Entry 50¢·24 shares

+$12INV $12 · WR 88.7%

Showing top 10 of 13

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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