Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$18.2K
447 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 125 traders · 1 on both sides
Ohio Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $102.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs17 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+30 new YES$853+21 new NO$2.5K
$271 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale6 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$8 of $558 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $14·NO $536YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$32(-82.7%)
Whales
5
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 17¢·100 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 92.3%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 18¢·60 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $11 · WR 64.1%
B
balthazar🥉hedged
Entry 8¢·45 shares·also $539 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 72.1%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 18¢·20 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 55.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·37.8 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 79.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$269(+18.5%)
Whales
17
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 94¢·575 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$539
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $539 · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 71¢·387.1 shares
Invested
$277
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $277 · WR 86.2%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 81¢·139.5 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $113 · WR 88.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 74¢·122.9 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $91 · WR 88.0%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 79¢·100 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
92.3%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $79 · WR 92.3%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 79¢·93.7 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $74 · WR 88.2%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 78¢·70 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $54 · WR 87.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 89¢·60 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $53 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 80¢·54 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $43 · WR 89.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 79¢·38 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $30 · WR 86.2%
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