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PoliticsResolved

Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$41.9K
644 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 179 traders · 1 on both sides

Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)

4 MARKETS · $563.0K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs35 NO
49%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$2.1K+48 new NO$7.6K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$23 of $4.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.6K·NO $252
YES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
74.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.3K(-94.1%)
Whales
33
A
anciano🥇
Entry 35¢·4,431.6 shares
$-1535INV $1.5K · WR 59.8%
S
sbimbg🥈
Entry 42¢·2,573.1 shares
$-1081INV $1.1K · WR 71.9%
B
Bigggggggg🥉
Entry 11¢·5,248.8 shares
$-562INV $564 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 11¢·4,348.1 shares
$-481INV $483 · WR 79.6%
K
klli27hedged
Entry 44¢·684.2 shares·also $397 on NO
$-301INV $301 · WR 85.6%
K
kaxel78hedged
Entry 44¢·684.2 shares·also $392 on NO
$-301INV $301 · WR 85.3%
A
akrollhedged
Entry 44¢·675.1 shares·also $392 on NO
$-297INV $297 · WR 84.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 58¢·473.9 shares
$-275INV $275 · WR 72.1%
J
JosephTrump
Entry 48¢·561 shares
$-269INV $269 · WR 65.3%
Z
zerone777hedged
Entry 44¢·444.7 shares·also $258 on NO
$-196INV $196 · WR 84.4%
Showing top 10 of 33

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 49% YES: the Republican Party hold 48 or more…