YES Price
75¢
75% implied
NO Price
25¢
25% implied
Volume
$118.5K
978 trades
Smart Whales
42
of 212 traders · 1 on both sides
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
5 MARKETS · $3.94M MATCHEDSmart Money
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31
56¢0¢$1.02M116/91Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 310¢56¢
$1.02M116/91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15←
75¢−26¢$118.5K21/22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15←−26¢75¢
$118.5K21/22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30
64¢−4¢$536.5K49/32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30−4¢64¢
$536.5K49/32
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs20 NO
54%47%
54% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 13 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 81%· net of hedges
+28 new YES$10.7K+38 new NO$4.4K
$4.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$16 of $26.9K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $21.8K·NO $5.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$22.7K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.6K(+7.1%)
Whales
23
D
Dragontree◆Proven🥇
Entry 73¢·15,541.4 shares
Invested
$11.3K
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $11.3K · WR 67.4%
S
Sticky-Closing🥈
Entry 71¢·3,765.4 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $2.7K · WR 62.5%
C
classified◆Proven🥉
Entry 74¢·3,082.2 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $2.3K · WR 82.7%
L
laureman
Entry 78¢·2,160 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $1.7K · WR 91.4%
E
eCash◆Proven
Entry 70¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$80
+$80INV $1.4K · WR 67.1%
W
WashTradehedged
Entry 26¢·2,591.7 shares·also $665 on NO
Invested
$666
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$1278
+$1278INV $666 · WR 59.2%
E
Everestpredictions
Entry 74¢·900 shares
Invested
$666
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $666 · WR 71.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 70¢·800 shares
Invested
$561
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $561 · WR 70.5%
T
totti82
Entry 72¢·694.4 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $500 · WR 61.9%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 72¢·389 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $282 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.1K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$795(-11.3%)
Whales
20
E
EmanuelEG🥇
Entry 25¢·7,234.1 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
63.3%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $1.8K · WR 63.3%
C
cashy◆Proven🥈
Entry 24¢·5,555 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$111
+$111INV $1.3K · WR 72.3%
N
noib🥉
Entry 29¢·3,410.2 shares
Invested
$975
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $975 · WR 57.7%
H
Huludubu
Entry 74¢·1,306 shares
Invested
$965
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
$-639
$-639INV $965 · WR 65.1%
W
WashTradehedged
Entry 66¢·1,013.5 shares·also $666 on YES
Invested
$665
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-411
$-411INV $665 · WR 59.2%
U
UntitledUser1
Entry 24¢·1,333.2 shares
Invested
$320
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $320 · WR 64.9%
I
IceWindL
Entry 24¢·833.2 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $200 · WR 60.6%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 26¢·620.2 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $161 · WR 60.4%
M
meagainsttheworld◆Proven
Entry 28¢·395.6 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $110 · WR 64.8%
F
0xf574a142...
Entry 25¢·398 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $100 · WR 73.2%
Showing top 10 of 20
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