PoliticsResolved

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YES Price
24¢
24% implied
NO Price
76¢
76% implied
Volume
$167.9K
3,058 trades
Smart Whales
117
of 614 traders

Smart Money Consensus

33 YESvs84 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 41 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 58%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$886+4 new NO$1.2K
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $55.7K is directional: YES $23.8K·NO $31.9K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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