18in36out · Polymarket wallet 0xa684…a33f

Wallet snapshot

18in36out has made 734 trades on Polymarket across 48 markets, $358K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (62%) and politics (24%). On 24 resolved markets the win rate is 100%, lifetime P&L +$5,794. It holds 18 open positions right now; the largest is Yes on "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $55K · 82¢ → 91¢
• 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo · $20K · 92¢ → 91¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $19K · 98¢ → 97¢
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No · $2,993 · 96¢ → 96¢
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No · $2,583 · 99¢ → 99¢
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No · $2,350 · 88¢ → 96¢
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No · $1,721 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Yes · $1,109 · 99¢ → 100¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $982 · 95¢ → 95¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No · $979 · 99¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No · +$515 · Oct 16, 2026
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No · +$14 · Oct 16, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No · +$380 · Oct 15, 2026
• Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$3 · Oct 9, 2026
• Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No · +$2 · Oct 9, 2026
• US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?Yes · +$86 · Oct 8, 2026
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 7?

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