YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$31.5K
367 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 145 traders · 1 on both sides
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
6 MARKETS · $2.56M MATCHEDSmart Money
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026
1¢+21¢$158.8K18/65Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026+21¢1¢
$158.8K18/65
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026←
3¢+15¢$31.5K10/47Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026←+15¢3¢
$31.5K10/47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027
28¢−28¢$4.0K0/5Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027−28¢28¢
$4.0K0/5
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027
10¢+23¢$11.4K4/8Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027+23¢10¢
$11.4K4/8
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs47 NO
18%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 42 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%
+2 new YES$105+2 new NO$724
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $13.4K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $67·NO $13.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$132
Avg Win Rate
61.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$56(-42.8%)
Whales
10
H
hithitfar🥇
Entry 41¢·113.8 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $47 · WR 59.6%
4
0x4e84ce15...🥈hedged
Entry 3¢·607 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $20 · WR 59.6%
T
TypeShi🥉
Entry 4¢·415.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 61.9%
K
koninginhetkasteel
Entry 5¢·277 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $15 · WR 56.5%
T
Touge
Entry 4¢·279.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 68.9%
M
Malganis
Entry 3¢·119.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 74.9%
T
trashtierhedged
Entry 3¢·60 shares·also $57 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 63.2%
F
Fond-Stretch-Walk
Entry 3¢·44.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
O
Overjoyed-Homeownership
Entry 4¢·41.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 84.6%
Showing top 9 of 10
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.7K
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$106(+0.8%)
Whales
47
G
GoriIIa🥇
Entry 97¢·6,620.2 shares
Invested
$6.4K
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $6.4K · WR 71.7%
1
18in36out🥈
Entry 97¢·5,909.4 shares
Invested
$5.7K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5.7K · WR 100.0%
P
Parz1vaI🥉
Entry 94¢·726.4 shares
Invested
$686
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $686 · WR 71.6%
V
vamnizar◆Proven
Entry 74¢·322 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $240 · WR 56.8%
H
hitunfar
Entry 91¢·114 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $104 · WR 59.9%
L
lionsix
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $96 · WR 82.5%
J
Jet9
Entry 96¢·100 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $96 · WR 66.7%
T
trashtierhedged
Entry 95¢·60 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$57
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $57 · WR 63.2%
E
EconomistOx
Entry 96¢·52.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 86.4%
C
cashllio
Entry 97¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 90.2%
Showing top 10 of 47
Smart Whale Trades
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