YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$1.9K
52 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 27 traders
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
6 MARKETS · $2.47M MATCHEDSmart Money
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026
1¢+21¢$145.6K18/64Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026+21¢1¢
$145.6K18/64
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
4¢+22¢$12.5K5/14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026+22¢4¢
$12.5K5/14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027
35¢−35¢$2.3K0/4Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027−35¢35¢
$2.3K0/4
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027←
21¢+4¢$1.9K1/3Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027←+4¢21¢
$1.9K1/3
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Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs3 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$21+3 new NO$143
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $407 is directional: YES $46·NO $361YES Team
Total Invested
$46
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-9.6%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$361
Avg Win Rate
67.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+2.4%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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