445 days left
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$2.9K
80 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 32 traders
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
6 MARKETS · $2.47M MATCHEDSmart Money
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026
1¢+21¢$145.6K18/64Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026+21¢1¢
$145.6K18/64
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
4¢+22¢$12.5K5/14Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026+22¢4¢
$12.5K5/14
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027
35¢−35¢$2.3K0/4Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027−35¢35¢
$2.3K0/4
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027
21¢+4¢$1.9K1/3Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027+4¢21¢
$1.9K1/3
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Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%
+1 new YES$28+2 new NO$97
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.3K is directional: YES $232·NO $1.0KYES Team
Total Invested
$232
Avg Win Rate
75.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$68(+29.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$14(-1.3%)
Whales
4
D
dsds1🥇
Entry 58¢·858 shares
Invested
$494
Win Rate
62.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $494 · WR 62.9%
M
mombil◆Proven🥈
Entry 52¢·890.2 shares
Invested
$460
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $460 · WR 60.4%
M
Mithrandir.🥉
Entry 65¢·120 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $78 · WR 69.8%
T
trashtier
Entry 56¢·60 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $34 · WR 63.2%
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