osmych · Polymarket wallet 0x7008…2fdd

Wallet snapshot

osmych has made 916 trades on Polymarket across 618 markets, $3,234 in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (41%) and politics (34%). On 389 resolved markets the win rate is 85.6%, lifetime P&L +$79. It holds 205 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Nov 5, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No · $102 · 92¢ → 94¢
• Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No · $22 · 87¢ → 94¢
• Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?No · $21 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026?No · $21 · 94¢ → 98¢
• Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Yes · $12 · 77¢ → 94¢
• Houthis seize an oil tanker by November 30, 2026?No · $11 · 83¢ → 95¢
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $10 · 83¢ → 88¢
• US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No · $10 · 93¢ → 97¢
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No · $10 · 93¢ → 97¢
• Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?No · $10 · 94¢ → 96¢

Latest closed positions

• Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Putin meets with Iranian officials by November 15?No · -$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?No · -$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No · +$1 · Nov 5, 2026
• Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?No · +$0 · Nov 5, 2026
• Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.