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90 days left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$2.22M
13,099 trades
Smart Whales
351
of 1,754 traders · 2 on both sides

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

3 MARKETS · $2.36M MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

158 YESvs195 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 72 YES vs 115 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$802+9 new NO$6.1K
$339 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$20 of $591.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $26.4K·NO $565.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$146.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$88.0K(-59.9%)
Whales
158
R
Railcool🥇
Entry 87¢·27,696.2 shares
$-21800INV $24.0K · WR 58.5%
S
SnowLover7🥈hedged
Entry 81¢·26,928.6 shares·also $6.0K on NO
$-19727INV $21.9K · WR 65.5%
3
3648393489047🥉
Entry 86¢·22,142.7 shares
$-17170INV $18.9K · WR 65.5%
J
Jellow2hedged
Entry 92¢·17,864.9 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-14998INV $16.4K · WR 66.9%
F
flawfence
Entry 16¢·58,900.3 shares
$-4901INV $9.6K · WR 55.0%
O
occasionalAwarenessProven
Entry 20¢·13,654.1 shares
$-1629INV $2.7K · WR 63.2%
S
ScottyNooo
Entry 18¢·10,297 shares
$-1048INV $1.9K · WR 55.9%
R
Raw-Sack
Entry 25¢·5,664.5 shares
$-965INV $1.4K · WR 60.0%
S
seal7Proven
Entry 16¢·7,493.6 shares
$-562INV $1.2K · WR 58.8%
B
BrownBeesProven
Entry 15¢·7,523.6 shares
$-516INV $1.2K · WR 62.3%
Showing top 10 of 158

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 45% YES: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor…