aff3 · Polymarket wallet 0xe52c…6924

Wallet snapshot

aff3 has made 7,821 trades on Polymarket across 286 markets, $10M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (37%) and sports (28%). On 265 resolved markets the win rate is 79.2%, lifetime P&L +$266K. It holds 14 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?". Last trade: Oct 16, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No · $264K · 84¢ → 95¢
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No · $65K · 88¢ → 95¢
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $51K · 88¢ → 91¢
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $18K · 96¢ → 97¢
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No · $14K · 93¢ → 98¢
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No · $6,974 · 85¢ → 99¢
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No · $2,796 · 85¢ → 77¢
• Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?No · $2,722 · 92¢ → 96¢
• Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No · $1,720 · 90¢ → 87¢
• Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No · $1,708 · 96¢ → 97¢

Latest closed positions

• Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor SvrcinaYes · +$1,304 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · +$5,823 · Oct 12, 2026
• Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No · +$888 · Oct 1, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No · +$883 · Oct 1, 2026
• Will AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes · $0 · Sep 23, 2026
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes · +$1,016 · Sep 22, 2026
• Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

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