Geopolitics81 days left
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
3¢
3% implied
NO Price
97¢
97% implied
Volume
$3.21M
14,374 trades
Smart Whales
267
of 4,733 traders
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
2 MARKETS · $3.22M MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
88 YESvs179 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 36 YES vs 148 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$136+15 new NO$124.7K
$107 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $390.9K is directional: YES $3.5K·NO $387.4KYES Team
Total Invested
$23.9K
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$12.3K(-51.6%)
Whales
88
W
whig◆Proven🥇
Entry 111¢·8,032.6 shares
Invested
$8.9K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-8709
$-8709INV $8.9K · WR 63.1%
T
Tigerofthehood🥈hedged
Entry 6¢·22,190 shares·also $20.1K on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-716
$-716INV $1.3K · WR 87.3%
I
IbnKhaldun🥉
Entry 11¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-820
$-820INV $1.1K · WR 57.1%
S
Sylvester.the.Cat
Entry 9¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$892
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
$-612
$-612INV $892 · WR 71.0%
M
MarvelFan94hedged
Entry 9¢·5,000 shares·also $4.5K on NO
Invested
$440
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-303
$-303INV $440 · WR 70.8%
A
abc123def456123
Entry 14¢·2,950 shares
Invested
$413
Win Rate
90.0%
Position P&L
$-330
$-330INV $413 · WR 90.0%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 6¢·3,349 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $201 · WR 63.4%
O
opa4aa
Entry 12¢·1,625 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-150
$-150INV $195 · WR 59.5%
R
risk-manager
Entry 7¢·2,546.5 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $183 · WR 73.6%
B
Bravo414
Entry 11¢·1,142.9 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $130 · WR 64.7%
Showing top 10 of 88
NO Team
Total Invested
$433.1K
Avg Win Rate
76.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$48.2K(+11.1%)
Whales
179
G
GoriIIa🥇
Entry 91¢·206,580.5 shares
Invested
$187.7K
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$13108
+$13108INV $187.7K · WR 71.8%
T
tsybka🥈
Entry 97¢·64,115.7 shares
Invested
$62.2K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$154
+$154INV $62.2K · WR 86.0%
F
forinnerpsandr1x11222◆Proven🥉
Entry 86¢·29,070 shares
Invested
$25.0K
Win Rate
91.5%
Position P&L
+$3256
+$3256INV $25.0K · WR 91.5%
T
Tigerofthehoodhedged
Entry 90¢·22,190 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$20.1K
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
+$1521
+$1521INV $20.1K · WR 87.3%
S
Spherical-Doc
Entry 88¢·12,500 shares
Invested
$11.0K
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$1150
+$1150INV $11.0K · WR 69.5%
J
JoeBlack01
Entry 95¢·11,000 shares
Invested
$10.4K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$248
+$248INV $10.4K · WR 60.0%
E
eCash◆Proven
Entry 87¢·10,721.7 shares
Invested
$9.3K
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$1075
+$1075INV $9.3K · WR 67.1%
C
Compassionate-Kneejerk
Entry 88¢·9,377.4 shares
Invested
$8.3K
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
+$821
+$821INV $8.3K · WR 90.5%
B
Bromley86◆Proven
Entry 97¢·8,222.6 shares
Invested
$8.0K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $8.0K · WR 90.8%
Z
zve3da
Entry 89¢·7,841.4 shares
Invested
$7.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$622
+$622INV $7.0K · WR 77.3%
Showing top 10 of 179
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