Spherical-Doc · Polymarket wallet 0xf5c4…0926

+$70,195 lifetime P&L · 69.6% win rate · 250 resolved markets · 0xf5c49ad254b1d53ea0b86fb285dd3f11dc800926

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Wallet snapshot

Spherical-Doc has made 3,497 trades on Polymarket across 264 markets, $2.7M in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (38%) and crypto (11%). On 250 resolved markets the win rate is 69.6%, lifetime P&L +$70K. It holds 11 open positions right now; the largest is No on "Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?". Last trade: Oct 13, 2026.

Largest open positions

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No · $43K · 85¢ → 98¢
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes · $27K · 93¢ → 91¢
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No · $13K · 68¢ → 97¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No · $13K · 82¢ → 85¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No · $12K · 88¢ → 98¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes · $1,251 · 71¢ → 79¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes · $525 · 50¢ → 23¢
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes · $423 · 88¢ → 98¢
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes · $421 · 90¢ → 94¢
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No · $246 · 42¢ → 55¢

Latest closed positions

Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?Yes · +$40 · Oct 13, 2026
Will there be no Codex weekly usage limit reset in the week of October 5?No · +$0 · Oct 7, 2026
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No · +$1,113 · Oct 6, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes · -$4,774 · Oct 3, 2026
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?No · +$255 · Oct 1, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No · +$2,042 · Oct 1, 2026

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