443 days left
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$171.8K
3,420 trades
Smart Whales
96
of 405 traders · 4 on both sides
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes)
10 MARKETS · $1.63M MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
36 YESvs64 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$1.6K+64 new NO$10.2K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 26 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$80 of $3.7K is hedged across different prices by 4 wallets. True directional: YES $1.2K·NO $2.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$2.6K
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$504(+19.1%)
Whales
36
J
jcsberger🥇hedged
Entry 91¢·1,139 shares·also $96 on NO
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-847
$-847INV $1.0K · WR 85.7%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 7¢·5,930.3 shares
Invested
$422
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$607
+$607INV $422 · WR 63.6%
D
DerDon◆Proven🥉
Entry 8¢·4,957.2 shares
Invested
$417
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$443
+$443INV $417 · WR 56.4%
D
DEGENKHAN◆Proven
Entry 11¢·1,224.9 shares
Invested
$138
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $138 · WR 66.6%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 8¢·996.7 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $77 · WR 59.4%
T
Tenebrus7◆Proven
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $68 · WR 74.2%
C
Capital-Endoderm
Entry 12¢·443.7 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $52 · WR 60.4%
D
DancewithRiskhedged
Entry 12¢·232.9 shares·also $420 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $29 · WR 66.1%
T
Tee1000
Entry 9¢·143 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $13 · WR 81.8%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 7¢·153.9 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $11 · WR 55.6%
Showing top 10 of 36
NO Team
Total Invested
$21.1K
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$9.5K(+45.1%)
Whales
64
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 44¢·10,657 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4210
+$4210INV $4.7K · WR 85.8%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 55¢·7,666.5 shares
Invested
$4.2K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2174
+$2174INV $4.2K · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 57¢·2,537.5 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$673
+$673INV $1.5K · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 91¢·859.6 shares
Invested
$782
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $782 · WR 86.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 86¢·877.2 shares
Invested
$754
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $754 · WR 89.0%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 88¢·848.4 shares
Invested
$749
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $749 · WR 83.8%
B
balthazar
Entry 92¢·815.2 shares
Invested
$747
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $747 · WR 72.1%
L
lpgb
Entry 49¢·1,168 shares
Invested
$567
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$411
+$411INV $567 · WR 76.1%
N
Neighboring-Eyebrows
Entry 88¢·619 shares
Invested
$543
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $543 · WR 68.7%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 92¢·562.2 shares
Invested
$515
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $515 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 64
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 381ms